Is it a good company at a reasonable price? This rather smallish company has done well for its shareholders over the years producing both a reasonable capital gain and dividend growth each year. This seems to be a company you could buy and hold for a long time. However, the price that you buy for a stock does affect your long term total return. The stock price could be reasonable, but it could also be considered to be a little too high. It is hard to call at present.
I do not own this stock of North West Company (TSX-NWC, OTC-NWTUF). I wanted to review all the income trust stocks touted in the Money Show of 2009. There was a lot of talk at this show about some of the Income Trust being currently good buys with very good yields. This stock changed from an income trust to a corporation in 2011.
When I was updating my spreadsheet, I noticed that, unlike Linamar Corp, which I just recently reviewed, this company’s stock price has steadily gone up. See the TSX Chart by googling “North West Company TSX Chart” and clicking on Max. Yes, it is a jagged line, but that is how the stock market works. See chart below on Total Return.
If you had invested in this company in December 2014, for $1,021.80 you would have bought 39 shares at $26.30 per share. In December 2024, after 10 years you would have received $537.03 in dividends. The stock would be worth $1,915.68. Your total return would have been $2,452.71. This would be a total return of 10.49% per year with 6.49% from capital gain and 4.00% from dividends.
Cost | Tot. Cost | Shares | Years | Dividends | Stock Val | Tot Ret |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$26.20 | $1,021.80 | 39 | 10 | $537.03 | $1,915.68 | $2,452.71 |
The current dividend yield is moderate with dividend growth low. The current dividend yield is moderate (2% to 4% ranges) at 3.55%. The 5, 10 and historical dividend yields are moderate at 4.33%, 4.35% and 4.53%. The dividend increases for the past 5 years are low (below 8% per year) at 3.7% per year over the past 5 years. The last dividend increase was in 2025 and it was for 2.5%. I have 36 years of dividend data and the dividends have been increased 27 times during those 36 years. The last year of no increase was in 2019 and before that was 1998.
The Dividend Payout Ratios (DPR) are fine. The DPR for 2024 for Earnings per Share (EPS) is fine at 56% with 5 year coverage at 53%. The DPR for 2024 for Adjusted Earnings per Share (AEPS) is good at 49.5% with 5 year coverage fine at 50%. The DPR for 2024 for Cash Flow per Share (CFPS) is good at 23% with 5 year coverage at 24%. The DPR for 2024 for Free Cash Flow (FCF) is fine at 52% with 5 year coverage high at 65%. FCF for 2025 varies from $106M to $114M.
Item | Cur | 5 Years |
---|---|---|
EPS | 55.83% | 53.25% |
AEPS | 49.56% | 49.99% |
CFPS | 23.37% | 24.08% |
FCF | 51.75% | 65.07% |
Debt Ratios are good. The Long Term Debt/Market Cap Ratio for 2024 is good at 0.13 and currently at 0.14. The Liquidity Ratio for 2024 is good at 2.00 and 2.06 currently. The Debt Ratio for 2024 is good at 2.08 and 2.05 currently. The Leverage and Debt/Equity Ratios for 2024 are good at 1.98 and 0.95 and currently at 2.01 and 0.98.
Type | Year End | Ratio Curr |
---|---|---|
Lg Term R | 0.13 | 0.14 |
Intang/GW | 0.04 | 0.04 |
Liquidity | 2.00 | 2.06 |
Liq. + CF | 2.68 | 2.74 |
Debt Ratio | 2.08 | 2.05 |
Leverage | 1.98 | 2.01 |
D/E Ratio | 0.95 | 0.98 |
The Total Return per year is shown below for years of 5 to 34 to the end of 2024. Under the Capital Gain column is the portion of the Total Return attributable to capital gains. Under the Dividend column is the portion of the Total Return attributable to dividends. See chart below.
From | Years | Div. Gth | Tot Ret | Cap Gain | Div. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 | 5 | 3.66% | 16.81% | 12.44% | 4.37% |
2014 | 10 | 3.14% | 10.49% | 6.49% | 4.00% |
2009 | 15 | 1.21% | 11.14% | 6.54% | 4.61% |
2004 | 20 | 4.96% | 15.39% | 8.48% | 6.92% |
1999 | 25 | 5.65% | 19.94% | 10.28% | 9.66% |
1994 | 30 | 8.64% | 16.88% | 9.43% | 7.45% |
1990 | 34 | 8.21% | 17.72% | 10.07% | 7.64% |
The 5-year low, median, and high median Price/Earnings per Share Ratios are 11.19, 13.02, 14.85. The corresponding 10 year ratios are 14.16, 16.53 and 18.90. The corresponding historical ratios are 10.45, 12.99 and 15.19. The current P/E Ratio is 15.26 based on a stock price of $46.24 and EPS estimate for 2026 of $3.03. The current ratio is between the low and median ratios of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable and below the median.
I also have Adjusted Earnings per Share (AEPS) data. The 5-year low, median, and high median Price/Adjusted Earnings per Share Ratios are 9.90, 11.45 and 13.06. The corresponding 10 year ratios are 13.33, 15.91 and 18.31. The corresponding historical ratios are 11.76, 14.61 and 17.46. The current P/AEPS Ratio is 11.65 based on a stock price of $46.24 and AEPS estimate for 2026 of $3.97. The current ratio is below the low ratio of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively cheap.
I get a Graham Price of $37.96. The 10-year low, median, and high median Price/Graham Price Ratios are 1.29, 1.51 and 1.73. The current ratio is 1.22 based on a stock price of $46.27. The current ratio is below the low ratio of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively cheap.
I get a 10-year median Price/Book Value per Share Ratio of 3.20. The current ratio is 2.87 based on a stock price of $46.27, Book Value of $771.8M and Book Value per Share of $16.13. The current ratio is 10% below the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable and below the median.
I get a 10-year median Price/Cash Flow per Share Ratio of 9.28. The current ratio is 8.19 based on Cash Flow per Share estimate for 2026 of $5.65, Cash Flow of $270.1M and a stock price of $46.27. The current ratio is 12% below the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable and below the median.
I get an historical median dividend yield of 4.53%. The current ratio is 3.55% based on dividends of $1.64 and a stock price of $46.27. The current dividend yield is 22% below the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive. But note that this stock used to be an income trust and as such had high dividend yields.
I get a 10 year median dividend yield of 4.35%. The current ratio is 3.55% based on dividends of $1.64 and a stock price of $46.27. The current dividend yield is 19% below the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable but above the median.
The 10-year median Price/Sales (Revenue) Ratio is 0.72. The current P/S Ratio is 0.85 based on Revenue estimate for 2026 of $2,598M, Revenue per Share of $54.30 and a Stock Price of $46.27. The current ratio is 19% above the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable but above the median.
Results of stock price testing is that the stock price could still be reasonable, but the stock price is at the top of the range. Both the 10 year median dividend test and the P/S Ratio test shows that the stock price is reasonable and at the top of the range. Other testing is showing the stock price as cheap or reasonable and below the median. The TSX chart is showing the stock price as off its recent high.
When I look at analysts’ recommendations, I find Strong Buy (3) and Buy (1). The consensus would be a Strong Buy. The 12 month stock price consensus is $59.50 with a high of $63.00 and low of $57.00. The consensus stock price of $59.50 implies a total return of 32.22% with 26.68% from capital gains and 3.55% from dividends based on a current stock price of $46.24.
Analysts on Stock Chase like this company, but give ratings of a Hold. Christopher Liew on Motley Fool talks about this stock being a defensive stock for risk adverse investors to buy. Demetris Afxentiou on Motley Fool says the company is dependable dividend payer and in a niche business. The company put out a press release via Global Newswire about their fourth quarter result ending January 2025. The company put out a Press Release about their second quarter of 2025.
Simply Wall Street via Yahoo Finance reviews this stock and basically like what they see. They have one warning of earnings have declined by 1% per year over past 5 years.
The North West Co Inc is a Canada-based company that is principally engaged in retail business in underserved rural communities and urban neighborhoods. Its geographical segment includes Canada and International. It generates maximum revenue from Canada. Its web site is here North West Company.
The last stock I wrote about was about was Teck Resources Ltd (TSX-TECK.B, NYSE-TECK) ... learn more. The next stock I will write about will be Medtronic PLC (NYSE-MDT) ... learn more on Friday, October 10, 2025 around 5 pm. Tomorrow on my other blog I will write about Frances Horodelski.... learn more on Thursday, October 9, 2025 around 5 pm.
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