Is it a good company at a reasonable price? This company has done well for their shareholders. I have not been fond of this stock because of its level of debt. A lot of their ratios are really high. Also, their dividends are so low that it seems like it is really not a dividend stock.
I do not own this stock of Dollarama Inc (TSX-DOL, OTC-DLMAF). I belong to an investment club and this was a stock I volunteered to look at. I had, of course, heard of this stock before and people have mentioned that it is doing very well for shareholders.
When I was updating my spreadsheet, I noticed that they still had a very high debt level. The Leverage Ratio is 5.19 and the Debt/Equity Ratio is 4.19. I would want these ratios to be less than 3.00 and 2.00. Dividends are so low that it would take some 15 years to get to a reasonable rate from the current dividend and current rate. See the paragraph below. This would be a stock to perhaps build your portfolio and discard when you want a dividend paying portfolio. The financial year ends around February 1 year, so I am reviewing the financial year of February 1, 2026.
In the chart below, I am showing 5 and 10 year total growth and per year growth in columns 3 and 4. In column 5, I am showing what growth has been over the past 12 months to the end of the second quarter of 2027 dated August 2026 and what is expected to the end of this year.
| Yr | Item | Tot. Gwth | Per Year | Gwth | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Revenue Growth | 80.21% | 12.50% | 8.65% | <-12 mths |
| 5 | EPS Growth | 161.33% | 21.18% | 5.29% | <-12 mths |
| 5 | Net Income Growth | 132.03% | 18.33% | 4.30% | <-12 mths |
| 5 | Cash Flow Growth | 98.09% | 14.65% | 13.53% | <-12 mths |
| 5 | Dividend Growth | 132.61% | 18.39% | 13.78% | <-12 mths |
| 5 | Stock Price Growth | 295.41% | 31.65% | -0.11% | <-12 mths |
| 10 | Revenue Growth | 173.77% | 10.60% | 30.24% | <-this year |
| 10 | EPS Growth | 373.00% | 16.81% | 24.95% | <-this year |
| 10 | Net Income Growth | 239.98% | 13.02% | 10.81% | <-this year |
| 10 | Cash Flow Growth | 292.03% | 14.64% | 6.24% | <-this year |
| 10 | Dividend Growth | 250.91% | 13.38% | 17.24% | <-this year |
| 10 | Stock Price Growth | 669.85% | 22.64% | 1.14% | <-this year |
The dividends are low, so if you buy this stock what sort of dividends would you get in the future? This chart is an attempt to show this. If dividends continue to increase by 18.39% as they have in the past 5 years, what you would get in dividends in 5, 10 and 15 years is shown in the Dividends Paid (Div Pd) column. The next column shows what your yield on the current stock price of $204.74 would be. The last column shows the percentage of your stock’s price would be covered by dividends in 5, 10 and 15 years. I do not buy dividend stocks that have yields less than 1% because it takes to long to get to a reasonable yield.
| Div Pd | Div Yield | Years | At IRR | Div Cov |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1.12 | 0.54% | 5 | 18.39% | 1.69% |
| $2.60 | 1.27% | 10 | 18.39% | 5.07% |
| $6.04 | 2.95% | 15 | 18.39% | 12.94% |
If you had invested in this company in December 2015, for $1,012.57 you would have bought 38 shares at $26.65 per share. In December 2025, after 10 years you would have received $88.20 in dividends. The stock would be worth $7,795.32. Your total return would have been $7,883.52. This would be a total return of 22.99% per year with 22.64% from capital gain and 0.35% from dividends.
| Cost | Tot. Cost | Shares | Years | Dividends | Stock Val | Tot Ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $26.65 | $1,012.57 | 38 | 10 | $88.20 | $7,795.32 | $7,883.52 |
The current dividend yield is low with dividend growth good. The current dividend yield is low (below 2%) at 0.25%. The 5, 10 and historical median dividend yields are also low at 0.29%, 0.32% and 0.38. The dividend growth is good (at 15% or higher per year) at 18.4% per year over the past 5 years. The last dividend increase was in 2026 and it was for 10.6%.
The Dividend Payout Ratios (DPR) are good. The DPR for 2025 for Earnings per Share (EPS) is good at 8.7% with 5 year coverage at 8.2%. The DPR for 2025 for Cash Flow per Share (CFPS) is good at 6.2% with 5 year coverage at 5.6%. The DPR for 2025 for Free Cash Flow (FCF) is good at 8.7% with 5 year coverage at 8.4%.
| Item | Cur | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|
| EPS | 8.66% | 8.16% |
| CFPS | 6.24% | 5.64% |
| FCF | 8.71% | 8.42% |
Debt Ratios mostly good, but the debt is high. The Long Term Debt/Market Cap Ratio for 2026 is good at 0.0.04 and currently at 0.06. The Liquidity Ratio for 2026 is low at 1.13 and good at 1.55 currently. If you added in Cash Flow after dividends, the ratios are good at 2.35 and currently at 3.17. The Debt Ratio for 2026 is low at 1.24 and 1.22 currently. The Leverage and Debt/Equity Ratios for 2026 very high at 5.19 and 4.19 and currently at 5.54 and 4.54. The debt is high and these ratios are good when they are below 3.00 and 2.00.
| Type | Year End | Ratio Curr |
|---|---|---|
| Lg Term R | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| Intang/GW | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Liquidity | 1.13 | 1.55 |
| Liq. + CF | 2.35 | 3.17 |
| Debt Ratio | 1.24 | 1.22 |
| Leverage | 5.19 | 5.54 |
| D/E Ratio | 4.19 | 4.54 |
The Total Return per Year is shown below for years of 5 to 17 to the end of 2025. Under the Capital Gain column is the portion of the Total Return attributable to capital gains. Under the Dividend column is the portion of the Total Return attributable to dividends. See chart below.
| From | Years | Div. Gth | Tot Ret | Cap Gain | Div. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 5 | 18.39% | 31.95% | 31.65% | 0.30% |
| 2015 | 10 | 13.38% | 22.99% | 22.64% | 0.35% |
| 2010 | 15 | 15.92% | 29.11% | 28.45% | 0.66% |
| 2008 | 17 | 28.38% | 27.83% | 0.55% |
The 5-year low, median, and high median Price/Earnings per Share Ratios are 23.08, 27.03, 30.97. The corresponding 10 year ratios are 21.38, 25.62 and 30.68. The corresponding historical ratios are 19.43, 24.89 and 29.30. The current ratio is 39.95 based on a stock price of $204.92 and EPS estimate for 2026 of $5.13. The current ratio is above the high ratio of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive.
I get a Graham Price of $25.16. The 10-year low, median, and high median Price/Graham Price Ratios are 7.77, 9.37 and 10.98. The current ratio is 8.14 based on a stock price of $204.92. The current ratio is between the low and median ratios of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable and below the median. It is interesting how high these ratios are for this stock. Generally, it is only Tech stocks with such high ratios. Normal ratios are considered to be between 0.80 to 1.20.
I get a 10-year median Price/Book Value per Share Ratio of 30.76. The current ratio is 37.35 based on a Book Value of $1,478M, Book Value per Share of $5.49 and a stock price of $204.92. The current ratio is 21% above the 10 year ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive. These ratios are really high also for P/B Ratios where a good ratio is around 1.50.
I get a 10-year median Price/Cash Flow per Share Ratio of 20.57. The current ratio is 29.51 based on Cash Flow per Share estimate for 2026 is 29.51 based on Cash Flow estimate for 2026 of $1,871M, Cash Flow per Share of $6.95 and a stock price of $204.92. The current ratio 43% above the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive
I get an historical median dividend yield of 0.38%. The current dividend yield is 0.23% based on dividends of $0.4658 and a stock price of $204.92. The current dividend yield is 38% below the historical median dividend yield. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive.
I get a 10 year median dividend yield of 0.32%. The current dividend yield is 0.23% based on dividends of $0.4658 and a stock price of $204.92. The current dividend yield is 27% below the 10 year median dividend yield. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive.
The 10-year median Price/Sales (Revenue) Ratio is 4.01. The current P/S Ratio is 6.77 based on a stock price of $204.92, Revenue estimate for 2026 of $8,159M and Revenue per Share of $30.29. The current ratio is 69% above the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive.
Results of stock price testing is that the stock price is probably expensive. The dividend yield tests say this and it is confirmed by the P/S Ratio test. A number of other tests says that the stock price is relatively expensive. The thing to really note is that most of the ratios are relatively very high ones.
When I look at analysts’ recommendations, I find Strong Buy (7), Buy (5), Hold (4) and Sell (1). The consensus is a Buy. The 12 month stock price consensus is $207.47 with a high of $236.00 and a low of $148.00. The 12 month stock price of $207.47 implies a total return of 1.48% with 1.24% from capital gains and 0.23% from dividends based on a current stock price of $204.92.
Analysts have mostly negative views on this company on Stock Chase. Some say that the valuation is too high. Another says that the company is under pressure. Amy Legate-Wolfe on Motley Fool says that Dollarama has defended their margins in the current trade war and so is valuable company. Demetris Afxentiou on Motley Fool says while Dollarama is not a bargain it does have long term appeal. The company put out a press release via Newswire about their fourth quarter results ending in 2026. The company put out a press release via Newswire about their second quarter of 2027 dated August 2, 2026.
Simply Wall Street via Yahoo Finance reviews this stock. They talk about expected losses from their expansion into Australia. Also, Simply Wall Street says the stock is overvalued based on cash flow. Simply Wall Street has one warning of has a high level of debt.
Founded in 1992, Dollarama is Canada's largest discount retailer. Beyond its domestic base, Dollarama holds a majority stake in Latin American value retailer Dollarcity and recently acquired The Reject Shop in Australia. Its web site is here Dollarama Inc.
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