Is it a good company at a reasonable price? It maybe a dividend growth stock, but it does not consistently grow. It has decreased dividends twice over the past 30 years and raised them 14 times. I rather like stocks that raise dividends each year. There are concerns that the trade war with US will impact this company. The stock price might be cheap as the 10 year Dividend Yield test says this.
I do not own this stock of Linamar Corporation (TSX-LNR, OTC-LIMAF). I looked at this stock back in 2000 and it was not a stock I thought fit my investment philosophy. In 2008 I read an article that recommended this company as a dividend stock with good value. This stock used to be on the Investment reporter portfolio stock list as an average risk stock. However, it has now been taken off this list. It is on the Money Saving list of Top 100 Canadian Dividend stocks, and is on the 2026 list.
When I was updating my spreadsheet, I noticed the dividend yield is low, but dividend growth recently has been quite high. Dividend growth over the past 5 years is 25.48% per year. However, dividends were cut in 2020 and then greatly increased in 2021. Dividends in the past has often been flat interspersed with good increases. They can afford to increase dividends as the Dividend Payout Ratios are quite low. The stock price went up 46% in 2025 and the stock in 2026 is higher than the last high point in 2017.
Note that cash flow can vary quite a bit. In the chart below, I am showing 5 and 10 year total growth and per year growth in columns 3 and 4. Column 5 shows growth expected over 12 months to the second quarter in 2026 and expected growth over this year.
| Yr | Item | Tot. Gwth | Per Year | Gwth | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Revenue Growth | 75.94% | 11.96% | 8.83% | <-12 mths |
| 5 | AEPS Growth | 115.38% | 16.59% | 7.63% | <-12 mths |
| 5 | Net Income Growth | 109.40% | 15.93% | 17.08% | <-12 mths |
| 5 | Cash Flow Growth | -7.20% | -1.48% | 11.53% | <-12 mths |
| 5 | Dividend Growth | 211.11% | 25.48% | 8.93% | <-12 mths |
| 5 | Stock Price Growth | 23.05% | 4.24% | 15.96% | <-12 mths |
| 10 | Revenue Growth | 98.20% | 7.08% | 15.18% | <-this year |
| 10 | AEPS Growth | 56.26% | 4.56% | 13.22% | <-this year |
| 10 | Net Income Growth | 33.86% | 2.96% | 23.81% | <-this year |
| 10 | Cash Flow Growth | 92.35% | 6.76% | -40.34% | <-this year |
| 10 | Dividend Growth | 180.00% | 10.84% | 11.61% | <-this year |
| 10 | Stock Price Growth | 11.01% | 1.05% | 37.02% | <-this year |
If you had invested in this company in December 2015, for $1,046.22 you would have bought 26 shares at $74.73 per share. In December 2025, after 10 years you would have received $93.52 in dividends. The stock would be worth $1,161.44. Your total return would have been $1,254.96. This would be a total return of 1.89% per year with 1.05% from capital gain and 0.84% from dividends.
| Cost | Tot. Cost | Shares | Years | Dividends | Stock Val | Tot Ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $74.73 | $1,046.22 | 14 | 10 | $93.52 | $1,161.44 | $1,254.96 |
The current dividend yield is low with dividend growth moderate. The current dividend yield is low (below 2%) at 1.33%. The 5,10 and historical median dividend yields are also low at 1.30%, 0.98% and 1.22%. The dividend increases are moderate (between 8 and 14% per year). The dividends have increased by 25% per year over the past 5 years, but this is because of a dividend decrease in 2020. Dividend have gone both up and down over the years, so they can vary. The last dividend increase was in 2026 and it was for 10%. In the previous 4 years the dividend increases are 17.65%, 10.00%, 13.64%, and 12.00%.
The Dividend Payout Ratios (DPR) are good. The DPR for 2025 for Earnings per Share (EPS) is good at 12% with 5 year coverage at 13%. The DPR for 2025 for Adjusted Earnings per Share (AEPS) is good at 11% with 5 year coverage at 11%. The DPR for 2025 for Cash Flow per Share (CFPS) is good at 5% with 5 year coverage at 5%. The DPR for 2025 for Free Cash Flow (FCF) is good at 9% with 5 year coverage at 10%.
| Item | Cur | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|
| EPS | 11.51% | 12.74% |
| AEPS | 10.81% | 10.84% |
| CFPS | 5.29% | 5.05% |
| FCF | 8.93% | 10.27% |
Debt Ratios are good. The Long Term Debt/Market Cap Ratio for 2025 is good at 0.37 and currently at 0.37. The Liquidity Ratio for 2025 is good at 1.73 and 1.88 currently. The Debt Ratio for 2025 is good at 2.27 and 2.21 currently. The Leverage and Debt/Equity Ratios for 2025 are good at 1.79 and 0.79 and currently at 1.83 and 0.83.
| Type | Year End | Ratio Curr |
|---|---|---|
| Lg Term R | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| Intang/GW | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| Liquidity | 1.73 | 1.88 |
| Liq. + CF | 2.21 | 2.12 |
| Debt Ratio | 2.27 | 2.21 |
| Leverage | 1.79 | 1.83 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.79 | 0.83 |
The Total Return per Year is shown below for years of 5 to 37 to the end of 2025. Under the Capital Gain column is the portion of the Total Return attributable to capital gains. Under the Dividend column is the portion of the Total Return attributable to dividends. See chart below.
| From | Years | Div. Gth | Tot Ret | Cap Gain | Div. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 5 | 25.48% | 5.45% | 4.24% | 1.21% |
| 2015 | 10 | 10.84% | 1.89% | 1.05% | 0.84% |
| 2010 | 15 | 10.82% | 11.15% | 9.82% | 1.33% |
| 2005 | 20 | 8.01% | 11.69% | 10.27% | 1.42% |
| 2000 | 25 | 8.09% | 9.52% | 8.32% | 1.20% |
| 1995 | 30 | 8.64% | 9.52% | 8.26% | 1.26% |
| 1990 | 35 | 16.66% | 13.73% | 2.93% | |
| 1988 | 37 | 15.06% | 12.81% | 2.25% |
The 5-year low, median, and high median Price/Earnings per Share Ratios are 7.00, 9.58 and 12.17. The corresponding 10 year ratios are 6.25, 8.21 and 9.61. The corresponding historical ratios are 8.26, 11.55 and 15.03. The current ratio is 7.86 based on a stock price of $96.38 and EPS estimate for 2026 of $12.27. The current ratio is between the low and median ratio of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable and below the median.
I also have Adjusted Earnings per Share (AEPS) data. The 5-year low, median, and high median Price/Adjusted Earnings per Share Ratios are 6.47, 7.68 and 8.89. The corresponding 10 year ratios are 5.56, 7.53 and 9.11. The corresponding historical ratios are 6.46, 9.68 and 12.09. The current ratio is 8.22 based on a stock price of $96.38 and AEPS estimate for 2026 of $11.73. The current ratio is between the median and high ratio of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable but above the median.
I get a Graham Price of $171.04. The 10-year low, median, and high median Price/Graham Price Ratios are 0.42, 0.56 and 0.74. The current ratio is 0.56 based on a stock price of $96.38. The current ratio is at the median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable and at the median.
I get a 10-year median Price/Book Value per Share Ratio of 0.80. The current ratio is 0.87 based on a stock price of $96.38, Book Value of $6,538M and a Book Value per Share of $110.84. The current ratio is 9% above the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable but above the median.
I get a 10-year median Price/Cash Flow per Share Ratio of 4.74. The current ratio is 4.58 based on Cash Flow per Share estimate for 2026 of $21.04, Cash Flow of $1,241M and a stock price of $96.38. The current ratio is 15% below the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable and below the median.
I get an historical median dividend yield of 1.22%. The current dividend yield is 1.33% based on dividends of $1.28 and a stock price of $96.38. The current dividend yield is 9% above the historical median dividend yield. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable and below the median.
I get a 10 year median dividend yield of 0.98%. The current dividend yield is 1.33% based on dividends of $1.28 and a stock price of $96.38. The current dividend yield is 36% above the historical median dividend yield. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively cheap.
The 10-year median Price/Sales (Revenue) Ratio is 0.51. The current ratio is 0.48 based on a stock price of $96.38, Revenue estimate for 2026 of $11,785M and Revenue per Share of $199.80. The current ratio is 5% below the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable and below the median.
Results of stock price testing is that the stock price is probably reasonable and could be cheap. The 10 year median dividend yield tests shows that the stock price is relatively cheap. The P/S Ratio test says it is reasonable and below the median. The rest of the testing is saying that the stock price is reasonable and above and below the median.
When I look at analysts’ recommendations, I find Strong Buy (3), and Hold (3). The consensus would be a Buy. The 12 month stock price consensus is $113.67 with a high of $123.00 and low of $100.00. The 12 months consensus stock price of $113.67 implies a total return of 19.27% with 17.94% from capital gains and 1.33% from dividends based on a current stock price of $96.38.
Analysts on Stock Chase thinks it is a buy but some are concerned about how CUSMA renegotiations or non-negotiations could affect the company. Amy Legate-Wolfe on Motley Fool thinks this stock is a buy but says that tariffs and auto cycles can still swing results. Aditya Raghunath on Motley Fool says the company faces real risks right now because of the current trade war with US. The company put out a press release via Globe and Mail about their fourth quarter results for 2025. The company put out a press release via Globe Newswire about their second quarter results for 2026.
Investing.com via Yahoo Finance says that the Linamar shares slide after a BMO downgrade due to renewed trade tensions. Simply Wall Street gives this stock 3 and one half stars out of 5. They have one warning of significant insider selling over the past 3 months. Both the CEO and CFO sold significate amount of their shares over the past year.
Linamar Corp is a diversified world-wide manufacturing company of engineered products. Its web site is here Linamar Corporation.
The last stock I wrote about was about was North West Company (TSX-NWC, OTC-NWTUF) ... learn more. The next stock I will write about will be Pason Systems Inc (TSX-PSI, OTC-PSYTF) ... learn more on Monday, October 5, 2026 around 5 pm.
This blog is meant for educational purposes only and is not to provide investment advice. I am not a licensed professional investment advisor. Before making any investment decision, you should always do your own research or consult an investment professional. I do research for my own edification and I am willing to share. I write what I think and I may or may not be correct.
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