Is it a good company at a reasonable price? This is a small company and therefore is on the risky side. I bought this with my fooling around money. I still like this company and I be keeping my stock. However, I think that at the present time it is relatively expensive.
I own this stock of Mullen Group Ltd (TSX-MTL, OTC-MLLGF). I like to look at recommended small cap dividend paying stock to see if they would be a possible good investment now or in the future. The other thing to mention about this stock is that it converted from an income trust and decreased it dividends. The reduction in dividend brought the Dividend Payout Ratios down to a place that would allow for the company to begin growing dividends again.
When I was updating my spreadsheet, I noticed that revenue was higher, but expenses were not only higher but of a higher percentage. I am looking at Operating Expenses, Selling and Administration and Finance. The percentage of these costs went from a ratio of 0.85 to 0.88. I have had this stock for just over 11 years. I have made a Total Return of $5.23% with 1.94% from capital gains and 3.29% from dividends. I paid too much for the first stock I bought in 2014. I have since purchased more stock at lower prices.
If you had invested in this company in December 2015, for $1,008.72 you would have bought 72 shares at $14.01 per share. In December 2025, after 10 years you would have received $429.84 in dividends. The stock would be worth $1,133.28. Your total return would have been $1,563.12. This would be a total return of 5.14% per year with 1.17% from capital gain and 3.97% from dividends.
| Cost | Tot. Cost | Shares | Years | Dividends | Stock Val | Tot Ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $14.01 | $1,008.72 | 72 | 10 | $429.84 | $1,133.28 | $1,563.12 |
The current dividend yield is moderate with dividend growth good, lately. The current dividend yield is moderate (2% to 4% ranges) at 3.85%. The 5, 10 and historical median dividend yields are also moderate, but a bit higher at 4.92%, 4.69% and 4.45%. The dividend growth for the past 5 years is at 19% per year. However, 11 years ago, the dividends were reduced. That is why the 10 year dividend growth is negative at 3.50%. Dividends are not higher than they were 10 years ago, but are higher than they were 15 years. The last dividend increase was in 2025 and it was for 8.4%.
The Dividend Payout Ratios (DPR) could be improved. The DPR for 2025 for Earnings per Share (EPS) is high at 84% with 5 year coverage at 57%. The DPR for 2025 for Funds from Operations (FFO) is good at 24% with 5 year coverage at 23%. The DPR for 2025 for Adjusted Earnings per Share (AEPS) is high at 97% with 5 year coverage at 63%. The DPR for 2025 for Cash Flow per Share (CFPS) is good at 23% with 5 year coverage at 20%. The DPR for 2025 for Free Cash Flow (FCF) is high at 73% with 5 year coverage at 44%. FCF varies from 210.2M to 110M. I am using the 110M. This one is from Morningstar which I used quite regularly.
| Item | Cur | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|
| EPS | 84.00% | 57.02% |
| FFO | 24.21% | 23.27% |
| AEPS | 97.24% | 63.49% |
| CFPS | 23.96% | 20.23% |
| FCF | 73.10% | 44.86% |
Debt Ratios are fine. The Long Term Debt/Market Cap Ratio for 2025 is good at 0.53 and currently at 0.31. The Liquidity Ratio for 2025 is good at 2.17 and 2.07 currently. The Debt Ratio for 2025 is good at 1.80 and 1.79 currently. The Leverage and Debt/Equity Ratios for 2025 are fine at 2.25 and 1.25 and currently at 2.26 and 1.26.
| Type | Year End | Ratio Curr |
|---|---|---|
| Lg Term | 0.53 | 0.31 |
| Intang/GW | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| Liquidity | 2.17 | 2.07 |
| Liq. + CF | 2.55 | 2.81 |
| Debt Ratio | 1.80 | 1.79 |
| Leverage | 2.25 | 2.26 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.25 | 1.26 |
The Total Return per year is shown below for years of 5 to 28 to the end of 2025. Under the Capital Gain column is the portion of the Total Return attributable to capital gains. Under the Dividend column is the portion of the Total Return attributable to dividends. See chart below.
| From | Years | Div. Gth | Tot Ret | Cap Gain | Div. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 5 | 19.14% | 12.99% | 7.63% | 5.37% |
| 2015 | 10 | -3.50% | 5.14% | 1.17% | 3.97% |
| 2010 | 15 | 3.52% | 4.41% | -0.48% | 4.88% |
| 2005 | 20 | 1.10% | 0.22% | -3.59% | 3.81% |
| 2000 | 25 | 7.64% | 8.90% | 2.11% | 6.79% |
| 1997 | 28 | 9.22% | 2.94% | 6.29% |
The 5-year low, median, and high median Price/Earnings per Share Ratios are 10.20, 11.50 and 12.80. The corresponding 10 year ratios are 10.48, 13.21 and 17.27. The corresponding historical ratios are 10.93, 14.51 and 17.72. The current ratio is 17.44 based on a stock price of $21.83 and EPS estimate for 2026 of $1.25. The current ratio is above the high ratios of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive.
I also have Adjusted Earnings per Share (AEPS) data. The 5-year low, median, and high median Price/Adjusted Earnings per Share Ratios are 10.20, 11.50 and 12.80. The corresponding 10 year ratios are 13.78, 16.46 and 19.21. The corresponding historical ratios are 13.56, 16.39 and 19.42. The current ratio is 17.33 based on a stock price of $21.83 and AEPS estimate for 2026 of $1.26. The current ratio is between the median and the high ratios of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable but above the median.
I get a Graham Price of $18.40. The 10-year low, median, and high median Price/Graham Price Ratios are 0.79, 0.95 and 1.11. The current ratio is 1.19 based on a stock price of $21.83. The current ratio is above the high ratio of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive.
I get a 10-year median Price/Book Value per Share Ratio of 1.30. The current ratio is 1.83 based on a Book Value of $1,146M, Book Value per Share of $11.95 and a stock price of 21.83. The current ratio is 41% above the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive.
I also have a Book Value per Share estimate for 2026 of $12.34. The analyst calculates the Book Value differently that I do and, in this case, the 10 year ratio is 1.28. The ratio is 1.77 based on a stock price of $21.83 and Book Value of $1,184M. This ratio is 38% above the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive.
I get a 10-year median Price/Cash Flow per Share Ratio of 5.40. The current ratio is 7.37 based on Cash Flow per Share estimate for 2026 of $2.96, Cash Flow of $284M and a stock price of $21.83. The current ratio is 36% above the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive.
I get an historical median dividend yield of 4.45%. The current dividend yield is 3.85% based on dividends of $0.84 and stock price of $21.83. The current dividend yield is 14% below the historical median dividend yield. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable but above the median. There are problems with this test because dividends have gone down as well as up and have been level a number of years.
I get a 10 year median dividend yield of 4.69%. The current dividend yield is 3.85% based on dividends of $0.84 and stock price of $21.83. The current dividend yield is 18% below the 10 year median dividend yield. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable but above the median. There are problems with this test because dividends were cut 11 years.
The 10-year median Price/Sales (Revenue) Ratio is 0.71. The current ratio is 0.91 based on a stock price of $21.83, Revenue estimate for 2026 of $2,309M and Revenue per Share of $24.07. The current ratio is 27% above the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive.
The 10 year median dividend yield says the stock price is relatively reasonable, but above the median, but at 18% above the median it is close to expensive. The P/S Ratio test says that the stock price is relatively expensive. Most of the rest of the testing is saying the same thing.
When I look at analysts’ recommendations, I find Strong Buy (3), Buy (3), and Hold (4). The consensus would be a Buy. The 12 month stock price consensus of $21.50 with a high of $24.00 and low of $18.00. The consensus stock price of $21.50 implies a total return of 2.34% with a 1.51% capital loss and 3.85% from dividends based on a current stock price of $21.83.
The only entry for 2026 on Stock Chase says this company is cyclical for a good operator. There is a Weak Buy for 2025. Not much in entries. Amy Legate-Wolfe on Motley Fool says the company is driven by Logistics demand and looks like it trading at a sensible price. Robin Brown on Motley Fool says buy for growth and income. The company put out a Press Release about its fourth quarter of 2025. The company put out a Press Release about their first quarter of 2026.
Simply Wall Street via Yahoo Finance looks at this stock. It talks about the fact that the company has issued more shares and therefor has diluted shareholders. Simply Wall Street has 3 warnings on this stock of has a high level of debt; unstable dividend track record; and large one-off items impacting financial results. They are right about unstable dividend track record. The company also reports Adjusted Earnings per Share to exclude one-off items impacting financial results.
Mullen Group Ltd is a logistics provider with a network of independently operated businesses providing a wide range of service offerings, including less-than-truckload, truckload, Specialized & Industrial Services, warehousing and logistics, U.S., and International Logistics, and Corporate. The company also provides a diverse set of specialized services related to the energy, mining, forestry, and construction industries in western Canada. Its web site is here Mullen Group Ltd.
The last stock I wrote about was about was Power Corp of Canada (TSX-POW, OTC-PWCDF) ... learn more. The next stock I will write about will be Canadian Utilities Ltd (TSX-CU, OTC-CDUAF) ... learn more on Friday, May 17, 2026 around 5 pm. Tomorrow on my other blog I will write about Speziale on TFSAs.... learn more on Thursday, May 28, 2026 around 5 pm.
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