Is it a good company at a reasonable price? I think that the price is reasonable for this generally blue chip stock. The only reason I see for the Hold rating appears to be slowing eCommerce demand and a delay in breakeven point at Voila. There is not much in analysts’ comments that I can see. It is off its recent high of June 2025. The P/S Ratio test did say it was reasonable but above the median, so maybe the price is a bit high.
I do not own this stock of Empire Company Ltd (TSX-EMP.A, OTC-EMLAF). I have known about this stock for some time before I decided to follow it. This stock has a financial year ending in end of April or first of May each year.
When I was updating my spreadsheet, I noticed that the earnings loss was due to impairment losses and related charges. They also have a high level of debt. However, you can see from the Total Return per Year chart that shareholders have done well with this company over the years. This stock has a financial year ending around April 30, so I am reviewing the financial year ending May 2, 2026.
If you had invested in this company in December 2015, for $1,003.86 you would have bought 39 shares at $25.74 per share. In December 2025, after 10 years you would have received $230.88 in dividends. The stock would be worth $1,849.38. Your total return would have been $2,080.26. This would be a total return of 7.99% per year with 6.30% from capital gain and 1.69% from dividends.
| Cost | Tot. Cost | Shares | Years | Dividends | Stock Val | Tot Ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $25.74 | $1,003.86 | 39 | 10 | $230.88 | $1,849.38 | $2,080.26 |
The current dividend yield is low with dividend growth moderate. The dividend yield is low (below 2%) at 1.96%. The 5, 10 and historical dividend yields are low at 1.73%, $1.71% and 1.45%. The dividend growth is moderate (between 8% and 14% per year) at 12% per year over the past 5 years. The last dividend increase was in 2026 and it was for 10.2%.
The Dividend Payout Ratios (DPR) are good. The DPR for 2025 for Earnings per Share (EPS) is too high at 102%, but analysts expect it to be around 27% in 2027 and EPS has with 5 year coverage good at 30%. The DPR for 2025 for Adjusted Earnings per Share (AEPS) is good at 27% with 5 year coverage at 25%. The DPR for 2025 for Cash Flow per Share (CFPS) is good at 8% with 5 year coverage at 8%. The DPR for 2025 for Free Cash Flow (FCF) is good at 21% with 5 year coverage at 18%. The FCF for 2026 varies from $950M to $1,487M. I am using $950M.
| Item | Cur | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|
| EPS | 102.33% | 30.21% |
| AEPS | 27.16% | 25.24% |
| CFPS | 8.26% | 7.73% |
| FCF | 21.37% | 18.18% |
It would be nice if the Debt Ratios were a bit better and they have too much debt. The Long Term Debt/Market Cap Ratio for 2025 is good at 0.10 and currently at 0.09. The Liquidity Ratio for 2025 is far too low at 0.82 and 0.88 currently. If you added in Cash Flow after dividends, the ratios are still quite low at 1.24 and currently at 1.32. I prefer these ratios be at 1.50 or higher. The Debt Ratio for 2025 is low at 1.43 and 1.43 currently. I prefer these ratios be at 1.50 or higher. The Leverage and Debt/Equity Ratios for 2025 are too high at 3.41 and 2.38 and currently at 3.41 and 2.38. I prefer these ratios be below 3.00 and 2.00.
| Type | Year End | Ratio Curr |
|---|---|---|
| Lg Term R | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| Intang/GW | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| Liquidity | 0.82 | 0.88 |
| Liq. + CF | 1.24 | 1.32 |
| Debt Ratio | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| Leverage | 3.41 | 3.41 |
| D/E Ratio | 2.38 | 2.38 |
The Total Return per Year is shown below for years of 5 to 41 to the end of 2025. Under the Capital Gain column is the portion of the Total Return attributable to capital gains. Under the Dividend column is the portion of the Total Return attributable to dividends. See chart below.
| From | Years | Div. Gth | Tot Ret | Cap Gain | Div. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 5 | 11.97% | 8.24% | 6.39% | 1.85% |
| 2015 | 10 | 8.20% | 7.99% | 6.30% | 1.69% |
| 2010 | 15 | 8.28% | 8.11% | 6.43% | 1.67% |
| 2005 | 20 | 8.06% | 8.93% | 7.18% | 1.75% |
| 2000 | 25 | 11.60% | 11.06% | 8.98% | 2.07% |
| 1995 | 30 | 11.26% | 13.27% | 10.83% | 2.44% |
| 1990 | 35 | 10.51% | 12.61% | 10.41% | 2.19% |
| 1985 | 40 | 10.16% | 11.81% | 9.84% | 1.97% |
| 1984 | 41 | 9.90% | 14.52% | 11.64% | 2.89% |
The 5-year low, median, and high median Price/Earnings per Share Ratios are 12.65, 14.49 and 16.33. The corresponding 10 year ratios are 12.91, 14.61 and 17.43. The corresponding historical ratios are 10.96, 13.03 and 14.21. The current ratio is 13.50 based on a stock price of $48.45 and EPS estimate for 2027 $3.59. The current ratio is between the low and median ratios of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable and below the median.
I also have Adjusted Earnings per Share (AEPS) data. The 5-year low, median, and high median Price/Adjusted Earnings per Share Ratios are 11.97, 13.91 and 16.36. The corresponding 10 year ratios are 12.60, 14.43 and 17.12. The corresponding historical ratios are 11.71, 13.68 and 15.55. The current ratio is 13.50 based on a stock price of $48.45 and AEPS estimate for 2027 of $3.59. The current ratio is between the low and median ratios of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable and below the median.
I get a Graham Price of $42.36. The 10-year low, median, and high median Price/Graham Price Ratios are 0.96, 1.15 and 1.32. The current ratio is 1.14 based on a stock price of $48.45. The current ratio is between the low and median ratios of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable and below the median.
I get a 10-year median Price/Book Value per Share Ratio of 1.85. The current ratio is 2.18 based on a stock price of $48.45, Book Value of $5,003M and Book Value per Share of $22.21. The current ratio is 18% above the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable but above the median.
I get a 10-year median Price/Cash Flow per Share Ratio of 5.59. The current ratio is 7.51 based Cash Flow per Share for the last 12 months of $8.48, Cash Flow of $1,911M and a stock price of $48.45. The current ratio is 2% above the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable but above the median.
I get an historical median dividend yield of 1.45%. The current ratio is 2.00% based on dividends of $0.87 and a stock price of $48.45. The current ratio is 38% above the historical median dividend yield. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively cheap.
I get a 10 year median dividend yield of 1.71%. The current ratio is 2.00% based on dividends of $0.87 and a stock price of $48.45. The current ratio is 17% above the historical median dividend yield. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable and below the median.
The 10-year median Price/Sales (Revenue) Ratio is 0.31. The current ratio is 0.33 based on Revenue estimate for 2027 of $32,949M, Revenue per Share of $146.29 and a stock price of $48.45. The current ratio is 7% above the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable but above the median.
Results of stock price testing is that the stock price is probably reasonable. The 10 year median dividend yield says it is reasonable and below the median. The P/S Ratio test says it is reasonable but above the median. The rest of the testing runs from cheap to reasonable but above the median, but the most are reasonable and below the median.
When I look at analysts’ recommendations, I find Buy, (1), Hold (5) and Underperform (1). The consensus would be a Hold. The 12 month stock price consensus is $53.86 with a high of $58.00 and a low of $48.00. The consensus stock price of $53.86 implies a total return of 13.17% with 11.17% from capital gains and 2.00% from dividends based on a current stock price of $48.45.
There is one analyst on Stock Chase in 2026 giving this stock a weak buy. He says that grocers are getting higher highs and higher lows. Stock Chase gives this stock 3 and one half stars out of 5. Kay Ng on Motley Fool thinks this is a blue chip stock to buy because it is a defensive dividend grower. Amy Legate-Wolfe on Motley Fool thinks this is a comfortable stock to own. The company put out a Press Release about their fourth quarter results ending in March 2026.
Simply Wall Street via Yahoo Finance reviews this stock and says that on a Discounted Cash Flow basis, the stock is slightly undervalued. Simply Wall Street via Yahoo Finance say that this is a resilient Canada stock to own. Simply Wall Street gives this stock one and one half stars out of 5. It shows no risks.
Empire Co Ltd is a Canadian company whose key businesses are food retailing and related real estate. The Food retailing segment is comprised of three operating segments: Sobeys National, Farm Boy and Longo's. The Investments and other operations consist of investments in Crombie REIT, real estate partnership. Its web site is here Empire Company Ltd.
The last stock I wrote about was about was Saputo Inc (TSX-SAP, OTC-SAPIF) ... learn more. The next stock I will write about will be Premium Brands Holdings Corp (TSX-PBH, OTC-PRBZF) ... learn more on Friday, July 10, 2026 around 5 pm. Tomorrow on my other blog I will write about Your Neighbour Canada Has Changed.... learn more on Thursday, July 9, 2026 around 5 pm.
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