Is it a good company at a reasonable price? It would seem you should be careful when you buy this stock because over some periods it has produced a reasonable return and over other periods the returns were too low or negative. Analyst expect some good growth in Revenue, Earnings and Cash Flow this year. My testing is showing that the stock price is reasonable. The Dividend Yield tests are showing that the stock price is cheap and dividend payout ratios are reasonable.
I do not own this stock of High Liner Foods (TSX-HLF, OTC-HLNFF). When I started to follow this stock, it was liked by the Investment Reporter and was considered to be of average risk. The Investment reporter no longer exists. Ryan Irvine of Keystone also likes this company.
When I was updating my spreadsheet, I noticed that even though they had higher sales, their expenses were a higher percentage of the sales. It was the Cost of Sales that was higher. Cost of Sales Ratio went from 0.77 last year to 0.79 this year. Also, from the total return over the past 5 and 10 years, it would appear that you should be careful when you buy this stock in order to make a reasonable return.
If you had invested in this company in December 2015, for $1,010.75 you would have bought 65 shares at $15.55 per share. In December 2025, after 10 years you would have received $309.73 in dividends. The stock would be worth $962.00. Your total return would have been $1,271.73. This would be a total return of 2.62% per year with 0.49% from capital loss and 3.11% from dividends.
| Cost | Tot. Cost | Shares | Years | Dividends | Stock Val | Tot Ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $15.55 | $1,010.75 | 65 | 10 | $309.73 | $962.00 | $1,271.73 |
However, if you had invested in this company in December 2020, for $1,010.10 you would have bought 91 shares at $11.10 per share. In December 2025, after 5 years you would have received $235.24 in dividends. The stock would be worth $1,346.80. Your total return would have been $1,582.04. This would be a total return of 9.96% per year with 5.92% from capital gain and 4.04% from dividends.
| Cost | Tot. Cost | Shares | Years | Dividends | Stock Val | Tot Ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $11.10 | $1,010.10 | 91 | 5 | $235.24 | $1,346.80 | $1,582.04 |
The current dividend yield is moderate with dividend growth probably low going forward. The current dividend yield is moderate (2% to 4% ranges) at 4.65%. The 5, 10 and historical median dividend yields are also moderate at 4.15%, 3.32% and 2.59%. The dividend growth over the past 5 years is high (above 15% per year) at 25.5% per year. However, there were dividend decreases before the high increases in the past 5 years. The last dividend increase occurred in 2025 and it was for 2.9%.
The Dividend Payout Ratios (DPR) are good. The DPR for 2025 for Earnings per Share (EPS) is good at 41% with 5 year coverage at 28%. The DPR for 2025 for Adjusted Earnings per Share (AEPS) is good at 43% with 5 year coverage at 29%. The DPR for 2025 for Cash Flow per Share (CFPS) is good at 16% with 5 year coverage at 13%. The DPR for 2025 for Free Cash Flow (FCF) is high at 83% with 5 year coverage good at 27%. Free Cash Flow for 2025 goes from $17.26M to a negative $28.9M. I am using the $17.26M value.
| Item | Cur | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|
| EPS | 40.97% | 27.96% |
| AEPS | 42.72% | 28.89% |
| CFPS | 16.37% | 12.59% |
| FCF | 83.17% | 26.80% |
Some Debt Ratios are good, but it has a high debt level. The Long Term Debt/Market Cap Ratio for 2025 is much too high at 0.93 and currently at 0.95. You would want this ratio closer to 0.50. The Liquidity Ratio for 2025 is good at 2.18 and 2.29 currently. The Debt Ratio for 2025 is good at 1.74 and 1.70 currently. The Leverage and Debt/Equity Ratios for 2025 are fine at 2.36 and 1.36 and currently at 2.43 and 1.43.
| Type | Year End | Ratio Curr |
|---|---|---|
| Lg Term R | 0.93 | 0.95 |
| Intang/GW | 0.93 | 0.86 |
| Liquidity | 2.18 | 2.29 |
| Liq. + CF | 2.16 | 2.52 |
| Debt Ratio | 1.74 | 1.70 |
| Leverage | 2.36 | 2.43 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.36 | 1.43 |
The Total Return per Year is shown below for years of 5 to 42 to the end of 2025 CDN$. Under the Capital Gain column is the portion of the Total Return attributable to capital gains. Under the Dividend column is the portion of the Total Return attributable to dividends. See chart below.
| From | Years | Div. Gth | Tot Ret | Cap Gain | Div. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 5 | 25.50% | 9.96% | 5.92% | 4.04% |
| 2015 | 10 | 3.95% | 2.62% | -0.49% | 3.11% |
| 2010 | 15 | 9.95% | 7.94% | 4.08% | 3.86% |
| 2005 | 20 | 10.10% | 9.92% | 6.07% | 3.84% |
| 2000 | 25 | 9.60% | 11.91% | 8.07% | 3.84% |
| 1995 | 30 | 8.78% | 6.25% | 2.53% | |
| 1990 | 35 | 1.90% | 0.60% | 1.30% | |
| 1985 | 40 | -0.30% | -1.33% | 1.02% | |
| 1983 | 42 | 1.16% | 0.05% | 1.11% |
The Total Return per Year is shown below for years of 5 to 21 to the end of 2025 in US$. Under the Capital Gain column is the portion of the Total Return attributable to capital gains. Under the Dividend column is the portion of the Total Return attributable to dividends. See chart below.
| From | Years | Div. Gth | Tot Ret | Cap Gain | Div. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 5 | 23.67% | 7.74% | 3.83% | 3.91% |
| 2015 | 10 | 4.06% | 2.78% | -0.46% | 3.24% |
| 2010 | 15 | 7.65% | 5.41% | 1.86% | 3.55% |
| 2005 | 20 | 9.21% | 9.16% | 5.16% | 4.00% |
| 2004 | 21 | 8.92% | 8.18% | 4.52% | 3.65% |
The 5-year low, median, and high median Price/Earnings per Share Ratios are 6.79, 8.52 and 10.10. The corresponding 10 year ratios are 7.60, 9.82 and 12.11. The corresponding historical ratios are 8.02, 10.29 and 12.17. The current ratio is 5.39 based on a stock price of $15.05 and EPS estimate for 2026 of $2.79. The current ratio is below the low ratio of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively cheap.
I also have Adjusted Earnings per Share (AEPS) data. The 5-year low, median, and high median Price/Adjusted Earnings per Share Ratios are 6.51, 7.99 and 9.47. The corresponding 10 year ratios are 6.62, 8.37 and 10.42. The corresponding historical ratios are 7.08, 9.57 and 12.02. The current ratio is 5.16 based on a stock price of $15.05 and AEPS estimate for 2026 of $2.92 ($2.12 US$). The current ratio is below the low ratio of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively cheap.
I get a Graham Price of $35.92. The 10-year low, median, and high median Price/Graham Price Ratios are 0.44, 0.57, and 0.71. The current ratio is 0.42 based on a stock price of $15.05. The current ratio is below the low ratio of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively cheap.
I get a 10-year median Price/Book Value per Share Ratio of 0.86. The current ratio is 0.77 based on Book Value of $561M, Book Value per Share of $19.66 and a stock price of $15.05. The current ratio is 10.7% below the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable and below the median.
I get a 10-year median Price/Cash Flow per Share Ratio of 3.80. The current ratio is 4.65 based on Cash Flow per Share estimate for 2026 of $3.23 and a stock price of $15.05. The current ratio is 23% above the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive.
I get an historical median dividend yield of 2.59%. The current ratio is 4.65% based on a stock price of $15.05 and dividends of $0.70. The current dividend yield is 80% above the historical median dividend yield. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively cheap.
I get a 10 year median dividend yield of 3.32%. The current ratio is 4.65% based on a stock price of $15.05 and dividends of $0.70. The current dividend yield is 40% above the historical median dividend yield. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively cheap.
The 10-year median Price/Sales (Revenue) Ratio is 0.33. The current ratio is 0.27 based on Revenue estimate for 2026 of $1,569M, Revenue per Share of $54.95 and a stock price of $15.05. The current ratio is 17% below the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable and below the median.
Results of stock price testing is that the stock price is probably reasonable and may even be cheap. The 10 year dividend yield test says that the stock price is cheap. However, the P/S Ratio test says it is reasonable and below the median. Most of the other tests are saying that the stock price is either cheap or reasonable and below the median.
When I look at analysts’ recommendations, I find Strong Buy (2), Buy (1) and Hold (3). The consensus is a Buy. The consensus 12 month stock price is $17.75, with a high of $21.00 and low of $16.50. This implies a total return of 22.59% with 17.94% from capital gains and 4.65% from dividends based on a current stock price of $15.05.
This was a top pick in 2024 for two analysts on Stock Chase there are no further entries. There were entries each year from 2018 to 2024. (I cannot look further on this site.) Brian Paradza on Motley Fool says buy this stock down 26% and hold for decades. Amy Legate-Wolfe on Motley Fool also likes this company. She said that they just bought Conagra Brands which was a seafood acquisition. The company put out a press release via Newswire about their fourth quarter results for 2025. The company put out a press release via Newswire about their second quarter of 2026 results.
Simply Wall Street via Yahoo Finance puts out a review of this stock. It says its fair value is $16.52.
High Liner Foods Inc is a Canadian company that is mainly engaged in the processing and marketing of prepared and packaged frozen seafood products. The company's retail branded products are sold throughout the United States and Canada. Its web site is here High Liner Foods .
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