Is it a good company at a reasonable price? This is a rather small cap company that hit a significant high in 2014 that it has never again came close to. For most of the last 5 years the stock has been up and down but never made any real progress. It is just off its recent high and even though it is testing as reasonable, you have to wonder. I would say be very careful if you invest in this company. See the Total Return chart in a paragraph below. However, it is testing as relatively reasonable compared to the last 10 years.
I do not own this stock of Pason Systems Inc (TSX-PSI, OTC-PSYTF). I read a report on this stock in the Buy and Sell Advisor in September 2013. I had not heard of this dividend growth company before so I decided to investigate it.
When I was updating my spreadsheet, I noticed this company has a checker past when it comes to dividends. Recently it cut the dividends by 74% in 2020. They raised the dividends in from 2022 to 2024 and since 2024, the dividends have been flat. I have data on dividends on this stock for the past 21 years and the company increased dividends in 14 of these years and cut them in 4 of them.
It would appear from the chart below that the company has done better in the last 5 years than in the last 10 years. The last 12 months is not great, but analysts expect better by the year end. In the chart below, I am showing 5 and 10 year total growth and per year growth in columns 3 and 4. Column 5 shows growth expected over 12 months to the second quarter in 2026 and expected growth over this year.
| Yr | Item | Tot. Gwth | Per Year | Gwth | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Revenue Growth | 167.67% | 21.76% | -1.52% | <-12 mths |
| 5 | FFO Growth | 169.13% | 21.90% | 3.08% | <-12 mths |
| 5 | Net Income Growth | 709.17% | 51.92% | -10.45% | <-12 mths |
| 5 | Cash Flow Growth | 74.44% | 11.77% | -18.30% | <-12 mths |
| 5 | EBITDA | 287.96% | 31.15% | -1.88% | <-12 mths |
| 5 | Dividend Growth | 8.33% | 1.61% | 0.00% | <-12 mths |
| 5 | Stock Price Growth | 52.16% | 8.76% | 17.85% | <-12 mths |
| 10 | Revenue Growth | 47.03% | 3.93% | 2.97% | <-this year |
| 10 | FFO Growth | 15.04% | 1.41% | 48.46% | <-this year |
| 10 | Net Income Growth | 463.76% | 18.88% | 20.97% | <-this year |
| 10 | Cash Flow Growth | -21.44% | -2.38% | 29.03% | <-this year |
| 10 | EBITDA | 59.03% | 4.75% | 5.21% | <-this year |
| 10 | Dividend Growth | -23.53% | -2.65% | 0.00% | <-this year |
| 10 | Stock Price Growth | -38.16% | -4.69% | 34.28% | <-this year |
If you had invested in this company in December 2015, for $1,008.28 you would have bought 52 shares at $19.39 per share. In December 2025, after 10 years you would have received $278.72 in dividends. The stock would be worth $623.48. Your total return would have been $902.20. This would be a total loss of 1.30% per year with 4.69% from capital loss and 3.40% from dividends.
| Cost | Tot. Cost | Shares | Years | Dividends | Stock Val | Tot Ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $19.39 | $1,008.28 | 52 | 10 | $278.72 | $623.48 | $902.20 |
The current dividend yield is moderate with dividend growth currently stopped. The current dividend yield is moderate (2% to 4% ranges) at 3.62%. The 5, 10 and historical dividend yields are also moderate at 3.31%, 3.57% and 2.64%. The last dividend increase was in 2024 and it was for 8%. Dividends are still almost 30% below the dividends given in 2019.
The Dividend Payout Ratios (DPR) need to improve and is expected to improve. The DPR for 2025 for Earnings per Share (EPS) is too high at 76% with 5 year coverage good at 41%. The DPR for 2025 for Funds from Operations (FFO) is good at 40% with 5 year coverage at 29%. The DPR for 2025 for Cash Flow per Share (CFPS) is high at 47% with 5 year coverage better at 29%. The DPR for 2025 for Free Cash Flow (FCF) is too high at 62% with 5 year coverage at 59%. For 2025 FCF varies from $14.68M to $65.9M. I am using $65.9M. The DPR for EPS is expected to be good by 2027.
| Item | Cur | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|
| EPS | 76.47% | 40.63% |
| FFO | 40.00% | 28.64% |
| CFPS | 46.66% | 28.83% |
| FCF | 61.79% | 59.26% |
Debt Ratios are very good. The Long Term Debt/Market Cap Ratio for 2025 is good at 0.03 and currently at 0.01. The Liquidity Ratio for 2025 is good at 1.98 and 2.57 currently. The Debt Ratio for 2025 is good at 4.78 and 5.64 currently. The Leverage and Debt/Equity Ratios for 2025 are good at 1.24 and 0.26 and currently at 1.19 and 0.21.
| Type | Year End | Ratio Curr |
|---|---|---|
| Lg Term R | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| Intang/GW | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| Liquidity | 1.98 | 2.57 |
| Liq. + CF | 2.66 | 3.93 |
| Debt Ratio | 4.78 | 5.64 |
| Leverage | 1.24 | 1.19 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.26 | 0.21 |
The Total Return per Year is shown below for years of 5 to 29 to the end of 2025. Under the Capital Gain column is the portion of the Total Return attributable to capital gains. Under the Dividend column is the portion of the Total Return attributable to dividends. See chart below.
| From | Years | Div. Gth | Tot Ret | Cap Gain | Div. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 5 | 1.61% | 13.06% | 8.76% | 4.31% |
| 2015 | 10 | -2.65% | -1.30% | -4.69% | 3.40% |
| 2010 | 15 | 3.74% | 3.11% | -1.01% | 4.12% |
| 2005 | 20 | 3.99% | 2.36% | -0.93% | 3.29% |
| 2000 | 25 | 13.05% | 14.62% | 8.31% | 6.31% |
| 1996 | 29 | 18.07% | 11.32% | 6.75% |
The 5-year low, median, and high median Price/Earnings per Share Ratios are 9.09, 11.4 and 13.88. The corresponding 10 year ratios are 17.08, 20.98 and 24.87. The corresponding historical ratios are 13.59, 19.22 and 23.95. The current ratio is 17.31 based on a stock price of $14.37 and EPS estimate for 2026 of $0.83. This ratio is between the low and median ratios of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable and below the median. Note that P/E Ratios have varied a lot because the EPS has varied a lot over the years.
I also have Funds from Operations (FFO) data. The 5-year low, median, and high median Price/ Funds from Operations Ratios are 7.88, 9.57 and 11.27. The corresponding 10 year ratios are 9.41, 12.27 and 14.52. The corresponding historical ratios are 9.20, 11.78 and 13.83. The current ratio is 7.45 based on a stock price of $14.37 and FFO estimate for 2026 of $1.93. This ratio is below the low ratio of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively cheap.
I get a Graham Price of $10.78. The 10-year low, median, and high median Price/Graham Price Ratios are 1.46, 1.91 and 2.29. The current ratio is 1.33 based on a stock price of $14.37. The current ratio is below the low ratio of the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively cheap.
I get a 10-year median Price/Book Value per Share Ratio of 2.88. The current ratio is 2.31 based on a Book Value of $484.5M, Book Value per Share of $6.23 and a stock price of $14.37. The current ratio is 19.8% below the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable and below the median.
I get a 10-year median Price/Cash Flow per Share Ratio of 12.37. The current ratio is 8.48 based on a stock price of $14.37, Cash Flow per Share estimate for 2026 of $1.70 and Cash Flow of $131.9M. The current ratio is 31% below the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively cheap.
I get an historical median dividend yield of 2.64%. The current dividend yield is 3.62% based on dividends of $0.52 and a stock price of $14.37. The current dividend yield is 37% above the historical median dividend yield. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively cheap.
I get an historical median dividend yield of 3.57%. The current dividend yield is 3.62% based on dividends of $0.52 and a stock price of $14.37. The current dividend yield is 1.4% above the historical median dividend yield. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable and below the median.
The 10-year median Price/Sales (Revenue) Ratio is 4.31. The current ratio is 2.59 based on Revenue estimate for 2026 of $431.7M, Revenue per Share of $5.55 and a stock price of $14.37. The current ratio is 40% below the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively cheap.
Results of stock price testing is that the stock price is probably reasonable. The 10 year median dividend yield says this and so I am going with this. The P/S Ratio test says the stock price is cheap. A lot of the other tests are saying that the stock price is cheap, but some also says reasonable and below the median.
When I look at analysts’ recommendations, I find Strong Buy (2), Buy (1), Hold (2). The consensus is a Buy. The 12 month stock price consensus is $16.10 with a High of $18.00 and Low of $15.00. The 12 months stock price of $16.10 implies a total return of 15.66% with 12.04% from capital gains and 3.62% from dividends based on a current stock price of $14.37.
The last analyst comment was in 2024 on Stock Chase. It is never a good sign when analysts stop commenting on a stock. Amy Legate-Wolfe on Motley Fool says she is continuing to buy this stock even with market sell-off. She says Pason sells essential drilling tech and generates steady cash flow, even if energy activity gets uneven. Jitendra Parashar on Motley Fool in 2025 says that Pason Systems offers strong dividends and growth, even after posting solid third-quarter results. The company put out a press release via Newswire about their fourth quarter of 2025 results. The company put out a press release via Newswire about their second quarter of 2025.
Guru Focus via Yahoo Financereviews this stock and gives its positive and negative points. Simply Wall Street gives to risks of Profit margins (11.5%) are lower than last year (17.4%); and unstable dividend track record.
Pason Systems Inc is a provider of instrumentation and data management systems for drilling rigs. The company reports on four strategic business units: The North American Drilling (Canada and the United States) and International Drilling (Latin America, including Mexico, Offshore, the Eastern Hemisphere, and the Middle East) and completions business units, all of which offer technology services to the oil and gas industry, and the Solar and Energy Storage business unit, which provides technology services to solar and energy storage developers. Its web site is here Pason Systems Inc.
The last stock I wrote about was about was Linamar Corporation (TSX-LNR, OTC-LIMAF) ... learn more. The next stock I will write about will be Medtronic PLC (NYSE-MDT) ... learn more on Wednesday, October 7, 2026 around 5 pm. Tomorrow on my other blog I will write about Dividend Stocks October 2026.... learn more on October 6, 2026 around 5 pm.
This blog is meant for educational purposes only and is not to provide investment advice. I am not a licensed professional investment advisor. Before making any investment decision, you should always do your own research or consult an investment professional. I do research for my own edification and I am willing to share. I write what I think and I may or may not be correct.
See my site for an index to these blog entries and for stocks followed. I have three blogs. The first talks only about specific stocks and is called Investment Talk. The second one contains information on mostly investing and is called Investing Economics Mostly. My last blog is for my book reviews and it is called Non-Fiction Mostly. Follow me on Twitter. I am on Instagram. Or you can just Google #walktoronto spbrunner8166 to see my pictures.