Sound bite for Twitter is: Dividend Growth Consumer. Results of stock price testing is that the stock price could be relatively cheap. Debt Ratios need improving and the company has a lot of debt. The Dividend Payout Ratios (DPR) are good. The current dividend yield is low with dividend growth good currently, but growth inconsistent. See my spreadsheet on BRP Inc.
Is it a good company at a reasonable price? There are things not to like about this stock. The Revenue is off its peak of 2024 over the last two year. EPS and AEPS is also declining over the past two years. Analysts seem to think that the financial year ending January 2027 will be a better year. The results for the second quarter report of 2027 dated July 2026 does show higher revenue and AEPS. However, book value is very low and debt is quite high. Also, having a past high it has not been able to breach is not a good sign. I bought my stock with my fooling around money. It is rather a risky buy, but the stock price might be cheap.
I own this stock of BRP Inc (TSX-DOO, OTC-DOOO). Robin Speziale, author of Market Masters and Capital Compounders had mentioned this stock in Capital Compounders, Table 3 (page 93 in my copy) as a possible next Capital Compounder. I had extra money in my TFSA, so I bought 40 shares of this stock.
When I was updating my spreadsheet, I noticed that this stock is showing a cyclical pattern. It had a high in September 2021 that it has not been able to pass. Note that I am looking at the financial year ending in January 2026 and its second quarter for 2027 ending July 2026.
If you had invested in this company in December 2015, for $1,020.60 you would have bought 36 shares at $28.35 per share. In December 2025, after 10 years you would have received $168.84 in dividends. The stock would be worth $3,493.80. Your total return would have been $3,662.64. This would be a total return of 18.15% per year with 17.18% from capital gain and 0.97% from dividends. (However, the 5 year total return is low, see the Total Return per Year chart in a paragraph below.)
| Cost | Tot. Cost | Shares | Years | Dividends | Stock Val | Tot Ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $28.35 | $1,020.60 | 36 | 10 | $168.84 | $3,493.80 | $3,662.64 |
The current dividend yield is low with dividend growth good currently, but growth inconsistent. The current dividend yield is low (below 2%) at 1.22%. The 5 and 8 year dividend yields are also low at 0.72%, and 0.69%. Dividends have only been paid since 2018. Dividend growth over the past 5 years is good (15% per year or higher) at 50.1% per year. The last dividend increase was in 2027 financial year and it was for 16%. Dividend increases are not consistent.
The Dividend Payout Ratios (DPR) are good. The DPR for 2025 for Earnings per Share (EPS) is good at 22% with 5 year coverage at 12%. The DPR for 2025 for Adjusted Earnings per Share (AEPS) is good at 17% with 5 year coverage at 10%. The DPR for 2025 for Cash Flow per Share (CFPS) is good at 6% with 5 year coverage at 4%. The DPR for 2025 for Free Cash Flow (FCF) is fine at 88% with 5 year coverage at 14%. FCF for 2026 varies from $70M to $871M and I am using $70M.
| Item | Cur | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|
| EPS | 21.77% | 11.72% |
| AEPS | 16.51% | 10.30% |
| CFPS | 5.89% | 4.08% |
| FCF | 88.43% | 14.16% |
Debt Ratios need improving and the company has a lot of debt. The Long Term Debt/Market Cap Ratio for 2025 is good at 0.34 and currently at 0.42. The Liquidity Ratio for 2025 is low at 1.27 and 1.19 currently. If you added in Cash Flow after dividends, the ratios are fine at 1.70 and currently at 1.51. The Debt Ratio for 2025 is low at 1.11 and 1.05 currently. The Leverage and Debt/Equity Ratios for 2025 are way too high at 10.35 and 9.35 and currently at 19.81 and 18.81. Note that good ratios are below 3.00 and 2.00. The leverage with EBITDA is too high at 5.18 and currently at 6.02. It is better when at 3.00 or below.
| Type | Year End | Ratio Curr |
|---|---|---|
| Lg Term R | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| Intang/GW | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| Liquidity | 1.27 | 1.19 |
| Liq. + CF | 1.70 | 1.51 |
| Debt Ratio | 1.11 | 1.05 |
| Leverage | 10.35 | 19.81 |
| L/EBITDA | 5.18 | 6.02 |
| D/E Ratio | 9.35 | 18.81 |
The Total Return per Year is shown below for years of 5 to 12 to the end of 2025. Under the Capital Gain column is the portion of the Total Return attributable to capital gains. Under the Dividend column is the portion of the Total Return attributable to dividends. See chart below.
| From | Years | Div. Gth | Tot Ret | Cap Gain | Div. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 5 | 50.88% | 3.71% | 2.91% | 0.80% |
| 2015 | 10 | 13.15% | 18.15% | 17.18% | 0.97% |
| 2013 | 12 | 10.83% | 10.23% | 0.60% |
The 5-year low, median, and high median Price/Earnings per Share Ratios are 8.32, 10.60 and 12.87. The corresponding 10 year ratios are 8.66, 12.17 and 15.13. The corresponding historical ratios are 9.42, 14.15 and 19.54. The current ratio is 27.24 based on a stock price of $80.76 and EPS estimate for 2027 of $2.97. The current ratio is above the high ratio of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive.
I also have Adjusted Earnings per Share (AEPS) data. The 5-year low, median, and high median Price/Earnings per Share Ratios are 8.61, 10.75 and 12.66. The corresponding 10 year ratios are 8.73, 12.24 and 17.10. The corresponding historical ratios are 9.07, 14.15 and 17.26. The current ratio is 19.14 based on a stock price of $80.76 and AEPS estimate for 2027 of $4.22. The current ratio is above the high ratio of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive.
I get a Graham Price of $21.09. The 10-year low, median, and high median Price/Graham Price Ratios are 2.58, 3.51 and 4.50. The current ratio is 3.83 based on a stock price of $80.76. The current ratio is between the median and high ratio of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable but above the median. This is a very imperfect test because 5 of the last 10 entries are fudged because of negative book values.
I get a 10-year median Price/Book Value per Share Ratio of 0.80. The current ratio is 17.25 based on a stock price of $80.76, Book Value of $335M and Book Value per Share of $4.68. The current ratio is 2049% above the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive. There are lots of problems with this test also. There were years of a negative book value. The latest quarter is showing the book value falling by 44%. Book Values seem to vary a lot.
Note that the Book Value per Share estimate for 2027 is $9.30. This implies a ratio of 8.68 with a Book Value of $665M and a stock price of $80.76. In this case the current ratio is 982% above the 10 year ratio of 0.80. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive. The 10 year median ratio is very low because of years of negative book values.
I get a 10-year median Price/Cash Flow per Share Ratio of 7.72. The current ratio is $5.73 based on a Cash Flow per Share estimate for 2027 of $14.10, Cash Flow of $1,009M and a stock price of $80.76. The current ratio is 26% below the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively cheap. This is a relatively reasonable test, but Cash Flow has varied a lot.
I get an 8 year and historical median dividend yield of 0.69%. The current ratio is 1.24% based on dividends of $1.00 and a stock price of $80.76. The current dividend yield is 79% above the historical and 8 year median dividend yield. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively cheap. This is a relatively good test.
The 10-year median Price/Sales (Revenue) Ratio is 0.76. The current ratio is 0.61 based on Revenue estimate for 2027 of $9,406M, Revenue per Share of $131.48 and a stock price of $80.76. The current ratio is 19.6% below the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively reasonable and below the median. It is very close to cheap
Results of stock price testing is that the stock price could be relatively cheap. The dividend yield test for the last 8 years is showing the stock price as cheap. Dividends have only been paid for 8 years. This is confirmed by the P/S Ratio test. It is a problem that a number of the tests are not good tests. The P/E Ratio and P/AEPS Ratio tests show that the stock price is expensive, but the AEPS ratio is not that high.
When I look at analysts’ recommendations, I find Strong Buy (6), Buy (5) and Hold (9). The consensus would be a Buy. The 12 month stock price is $103.07 with a high of $113.00 and low of $90.00. The 12 month stock price of $103.07 implies a total return of 28.86% with 27.63% from capital gains and 1.24% from dividends based on a current stock price of $80.76.
Analysts on Stock Chase stopped following this stock after 2024. Never a good sign. Jitendra Parashar on Motley Fool in August said that the stock jumped 8% following the launch of BRP Financial Services, a new retail financing program for customers and dealers in the U.S. market. Amy Legate-Wolfe on Motley Fool is looking for a cyclical rebound potential as demand and margins recover. The company put out a press release via Newswire about its fourth quarter for 2026. The company put out a press release via Newswire about its second quarter for the 2027 financial year.
Simply Wall Street via Yahoo Finance see a higher Fair Value Estimate of CA$103.07, up from CA$97.22, which lines up more closely with the Street price targets that have been cited after the latest update. Simply Wall Street has 3 warnings on this stock of profit margins (1.2%) are lower than last year (2.6%); has a high level of debt; and large one-off items impacting financial results. Note that the company has Adjusted Earnings per Share to get rid of impact of one-off items.
BRP designs, develops, manufactures, distributes, and markets snowmobiles, all-terrain vehicles, and personal watercraft under the Ski-Doo, Sea-Doo, Can-Am, and Lynx brand names. It also builds engines under the Rotax brand (after shuttering the Evinrude outboard engine business in 2020) and offers clothing, parts, and accessories that cater to its core consumers. Its web site is here BRP Inc.
The last stock I wrote about was about was K-Bro Linen Inc (TSX-KBL, OTC-KBRLF) ... learn more. The next stock I will write about will be Linamar Corporation (TSX-LNR, OTC-LIMAF) ... learn more on Friday, September 24, 2026 around 5 pm. Tomorrow on my other blog I will write about Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd.... learn more on Thursday, September 24, 2026 around 5 pm.
This blog is meant for educational purposes only and is not to provide investment advice. I am not a licensed professional investment advisor. Before making any investment decision, you should always do your own research or consult an investment professional. I do research for my own edification and I am willing to share. I write what I think and I may or may not be correct.
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