Is it a good company at a reasonable price? The dividends are rather low for a utility, but they are increasing. As it seems with a number of utilities I looked at this year, I wish the Debt Ratios, especially the Liquidity Ratios were better and it had less debt. This stock is going to continue and to pay dividends. The only caution I have is that it seems that the current stock price is too high.
I do not own this stock of Hydro One Ltd (TSX-H, OTC-HRNNF). It is a utility stock and has been recommended by various persons. It was on the Money Sense list with a C. Rating in 2022. It appeared in the Stable Dividend Portfolio when Norman Rothery originally wrote about it in December 21, 2022. This stock has not been on the Money Sense list since 2023.
When I was updating my spreadsheet, I noticed that shareholders have done quite well with this stock. Total Return being over 10% per year for 5, 10 and 11 years at 16.87%, 12.60% and 11.58%. However, like other utilities the DPRs are high and the debt is high.
If you had invested in this company in December 2015, for $1,003.05 you would have bought 45 shares at $22.29 per share. In December 2025, after 10 years you would have received $476.36 in dividends. The stock would be worth $2,458.80. Your total return would have been $2,935.16. This would be a total return of 12.60% per year with 9.38% from capital gain and 3.22% from dividends.
| Cost | Tot. Cost | Shares | Years | Dividends | Stock Val | Tot Ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $22.29 | $1,003.05 | 45 | 10 | $476.36 | $2,458.80 | $2,935.16 |
The current dividend yield is moderate with dividend growth low. The current dividend yield is moderate (2% to 4% ranges) at 2.25%. The 5 and 9 year median dividend yields are also moderate at 2.94% and 3.63%. The dividend growth is low (below 8%) at 5.6% over the past 5 years. The last dividend increase was 2025 and it was for 6.02%
The Dividend Payout Ratios (DPR) could improve. The DPR for 2025 for Earnings per Share (EPS) is high at 59% with 5 year coverage at 63%. The DPR for 2025 for Adjusted Funds from Operations (AFFO) is high at 99% with 5 year coverage at 96%. The AFFO values are provided by TD Bank. The DPR for 2025 for Funds from Operations (FFO) is good at 30% with 5 year coverage at 31%. The FFO values are provide by the company.
The DPR for 2025 for Adjusted Earnings per Share (AEPS) is high at 59% with 5 year coverage at 63%. The DPR for 2025 for Cash Flow per Share (CFPS) is good at 29% with 5 year coverage at 28%. The DPR for 2025 for Free Cash Flow (FCF) is non-calculable due to reported negative FCFs.
| Item | Cur | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|
| EPS | 58.90% | 63.08% |
| AFFO | 98.76% | 96.46% |
| FFO | 30.00% | 31.33% |
| AEPS | 58.90% | 63.31% |
| CFPS | 28.91% | 28.11% |
| FCF 1 | NC | NC |
| FCF 2 | NC | NC |
Debt Ratios are acceptable, but it would be nice if they were improved. The Long Term Debt/Market Cap Ratio for 2025 is fine at 0.55 and currently good at 0.51. The Liquidity Ratio for 2025 is too low at 0.61 and 0.61 currently. If you added in Cash Flow after dividends, the ratios are still low at 1.11 and currently at 1.13. If you add back the debt outstanding currently the ratios are still low at 1.41 and currently at 1.43. I prefer this ratio to be 1.50 or higher, but generally speaking, they tend to be low for utilities. The Debt Ratio for 2025 is fine, but low at 1.47 and 1.47 currently. I prefer these ratios to be at 1.50 or higher. The Leverage and Debt/Equity Ratios for 2025 are too high at 3.14 and 2.13 and currently at 3.14 and 2.13. I prefer these ratios below 3.00 and 2.00, but utilities tend to have a lot of debt.
| Type | Year End | Ratio Curr |
|---|---|---|
| Lg Term R | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| Intang/GW | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| Liquidity | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| Liq. + CF | 1.11 | 1.13 |
| Liq. + CF+D | 1.41 | 1.43 |
| Debt Ratio | 1.47 | 1.47 |
| Leverage | 3.14 | 3.14 |
| D/E Ratio | 2.13 | 2.13 |
The Total Return per year is shown below for years of 5 to 11 to the end of 2025. Under the Capital Gain column is the portion of the Total Return attributable to capital gains. Under the Dividend column is the portion of the Total Return attributable to dividends. See chart below.
| From | Years | Div. Gth | Tot Ret | Cap Gain | Div. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 5 | 5.56% | 16.87% | 13.69% | 3.18% |
| 2015 | 10 | 3.43% | 12.60% | 9.38% | 3.22% |
| 2014 | 11 | 11.58% | 8.79% | 2.79% |
The 5-year low, median, and high median Price/Earnings per Share Ratios are 18.28, 20.34 and 22.40. The corresponding 10 year ratios are 17.90, 19.87 and 21.85. The corresponding historical ratios are 17.67, 19.70 and 21.73. The current ratio is 26.02 based on a stock price of $59.27 and EPS estimate for 2026 of $2.28. The current ratio is above the high ratio of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive.
I also have Adjusted Earnings per Share (AEPS) data. The 5-year low, median, and high median Price/Adjusted Earnings per Share Ratios are 18.28, 20.34 and 22.40. The corresponding 10 year ratios are 17.90, 19.87 and 21.47. The corresponding historical ratios are 17.90, 19.47 and 20.83. The current ratio is 26.11 based on a stock price of $59.27 and AEPS estimate for 2026 of $2.27. The current ratio is above the high ratio of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive.
I also have Funds from Operations (FFO) data. The 5-year low, median, and high median Price/ Funds from Operations Ratios are 9.24, 10.28 and 11.33. The corresponding 10 year ratios are 8.42, 9.25 and 10.34. The corresponding historical ratios are 8.10, 8.94 and 10.09. The current ratio is 13.54 based on a stock price of $59.27 and FFO for the last 12 months of $4.38. The current ratio is above the high ratio of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive.
I get a Graham Price of $32.82. The 10-year low, median, and high median Price/Graham Price Ratios are 1.06, 1.16 and 1.28. The current ratio is 1.81 based on a stock price of $59.27. The current ratio is above the high ratio of the 10 year median ratios. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive.
I get a 10-year median Price/Book Value per Share Ratio of 1.57. The current ratio is 2.81 based on a Book Value of $12,648M, Book Value per Share of $21.09 and a stock price of $59.27. The current ratio is 79% above the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive.
I get a 10-year median Price/Cash Flow per Share Ratio of 8.64. The current ratio is 12.86 based on Cash Flow per Share estimate for 2026 of $4.61, Cash Flow of $2,765M and a stock price of $59.27. The current ratio is 49% above the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive.
I get an historical median dividend yield of 3.63%. The current dividend yield is 2.25% based on dividends of $1.3324 and a stock price of $59.27. The current dividend yield is 38% below the historical median dividend yield. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive.
I get a 10 year median dividend yield of 3.63%. The current dividend yield is 2.25% based on dividends of $1.3324 and a stock price of $59.27. The current dividend yield is 38% below the 10 year median dividend yield. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive.
The 10-year median Price/Sales (Revenue) Ratio is 2.39. The current ratio is 3.83 based on Revenue estimate for 2026 of $9,292M, Revenue per Share of $15.49 and a stock price of $59.27. The current ratio is 60% above the 10 year median ratio. This stock price testing suggests that the stock price is relatively expensive.
Results of stock price testing is that the stock price is probably expensive. I would say it is a Hold. The 10 year median dividend yield test says this and it is confirmed by the P/S Ratio test. All the testing I have done shows a stock price that is expensive. I would say it is a Hold.
When I look at analysts’ recommendations, I find Buy (2), Hold (10), Underperform (2) and Sell (1). The consensus is a Hold. The 12 month stock price consensus is $55.53 with a high of $66.00 and low of $46.00. The 12 month stock price consensus implies a total loss of 4.06% with a 6.31% capital loss and 2.25% from dividends based on a current stock price of $59.27.
There is only one entry for 2026 on Stock Chase. The recommendation is Do Not Buy because the low dividend and only operates in Ontario. There were mixed reviews in 2025 from Partial Sell to Hold to Buy. Amy Legate-Wolfe on Motley Fool. She says that Hydro One fits the “sleep better” test perfectly. Joey Frenette on Motley Fool. He says Hydro One stock could hold steady, even in a stormier market. The company put out a Press Release about their fourth quarter of 2025.
Simply Wall Street via Yahoo Finance. They review the stock and discuss if it under or overvalued. Simply Wall Street has two warnings out on this stock of debt is not well covered by operating cash flow; and dividend of 2.28% is not well covered by free cash flows.
Hydro One operates regulated transmission and distribution assets in Ontario. Hydro One operates a small telecom business with annual revenue contributing less than 1% to consolidated results. The province of Ontario holds an approximate 47.5% common equity stake. Its web site is here Hydro One Ltd.
The last stock I wrote about was about was AltaGas Ltd (TSX-ALA, OTC-ATGFF) ... learn more. The next stock I will write about will be Atrium Mortgage Investment Corp (TSX-AI, OTC-AMIVF) ... learn more on Friday, April 10, 2026 around 5 pm. Tomorrow on my other blog I will write about Something to Buy April 2026 .... learn more on Thursday, April 9, 2026 around 5 pm.
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